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COVID – week 61 – May 10 – May 16

Tuesday – India variant “critical global risk” – I’m still expecting an escape variant that is untouched by the current vaccines. That would be incredibly disruptive.

Monday – Pfizer vaccine soon to be approved for 12-15 year olds. That’s really going to make school in September viable – especially for middle school upwards. India continues to ride the wave of cases.

This time last year – US entering the second wave. Exams, work, politics.

The Guardian The Seattle Times
10 May here here
11 May here here
12 May
13 May
14 May
15 May
16 May

https://www.theguardian.com/world/series/coronavirus-live

https://www.seattletimes.com/tag/coronavirus/

COVID – week 60 – May 3 – May 9

Weekend – much grumbling about opening up vs. case rates in Washington State. Vaccination rates slowing in the US.

Still large positive rates across Washington State; again data from The Seattle Times.

Friday – “COVID never going away” from Prof Chris Whitty “In the long term, I do expect that this will become a much milder, chronic disease overall”

Thursday – US vaccine patent waivers should help with vaccine production globally. New Moderna vaccine tested to protect against variants. The mRNA route looks like science fiction; but could be a rapid way of getting variant specific vaccines out of the door.

Wednesday – new goal of getting 70% of US adults with at least one shot by July 4th. Very clear that there will be lingering Covid-like infection in the US for the foreseeable future. Annual shots along with flu.

Tuesday – a pause on rolling back to Phase 2 (i.e. more restricted opening) – with a two week wait to watch numbers.

Is this a real downward trend? From King County Health Indicators.

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Monday – looking back to last year. This was week 9 of working from home – and the routine was pretty established. The news items seem familiar too – early re-opening, increased cases. I wrote early about the “Hammer and The Dance” – and it was so insightful. We are in that “ongoing” phase. New York Times: “there is widespread consensus among scientists and public health experts that the herd immunity threshold is not attainable — at least not in the foreseeable future, and perhaps not ever.”

The Guardian The Seattle Times
3 May here here
4 May here here
5 May here here
6 May here here
7 May here here
8 May here here
9 May here here

https://www.theguardian.com/world/series/coronavirus-live

https://www.seattletimes.com/tag/coronavirus/

COVID – week 59 – Apr 26 – May 2

Weekend – The tale of rich vs poor. US and UK having a significant program for immunisation and re-opening; vs India and Brazil.

Washington State numbers tell two stories; of vaccines in arms and re-opening, and a fourth wave of new infections hitting younger people. The infection rate, cases per day and death rate are all above last fall.

Friday – WA pushing hard to over come “vaccine reluctance”, especially in more red counties. Very clear male/female divide too.

Thursday – “Indian variant” B1617 detected in the UK. This is the massive risk; a new variant emerges in India, Russia, another country with huge numbers of cases – and that is the “perfect virus” – virulent, deadly and not touched by the current vaccines

Wednesday – King County, WA (home of Seattle) is almost certain to slide back into Phase 2 restrictions. More cases, less compliance. I’ve been flagging this for a month plus. This is looking very much like November 2020; with younger folk getting sick.

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Tuesday – Headlines are about India. Oxygen, hospitals, hundreds and hundreds of cases. Variants, election season and mass events over the past month have built up to this.

Monday – another week of commentary; and we roll over into May. Seattle Times paywall again. This time last year I did a coronavirus antibodies test to see if I was exposed in early 2020. Negative. Also this time last year 65k deaths in the US – and NY was getting overwhelmed. Early discussions about “return to the office”. Looking back – so naive.

The Guardian The Seattle Times
26 Apr here here
27 Apr here here
28 Apr here here
29 Apr here here
30 Apr here here
1 May here here
2 May here here

https://www.theguardian.com/world/series/coronavirus-live

https://www.seattletimes.com/tag/coronavirus/

COVID – week 58 – Apr 19 – Apr 25

Weekend – the never ending grim news from India. Oxygen shortages, oxygen being moved from steel plants to hospitals, dead and dying, overwhelmed and collapsing healthcare. Over half of UK population have had first vaccination. Real concern about runaway Covid in India; and the risk of the “one variant” that escapes and starts this all over again.

Usual weekly from The Seattle Times. Lots of positive cases; more than Summer 2020; positive test rate is right up too. Lots still to do here.

Friday – Today the Seattle Times was not paywalled. Interesting read on the Brazil variant running through Latin America; and the India variants. Japan cases surge; Olympics at risk again. Left – Global daily cases are galloping towards 1M per day, Right – the India case numbers are heartbreaking – “a wall”. From JHU. This also from the BBC in Indian healthcare crisis following these cases.

Global casesIndia cases

Thursday – 314K cases today in India. New variant BV-1 in Texas. Washington State in wave 4.

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Wednesday – India – not a wave, a wall of cases. My second Pfizer shot. The beginning of the end? I hope so; I expect annual shots just like the flu. US meets 200M shots in 100 days. Phenomenal.

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Tuesday – The Seattle Times seems to have reverted back to the paywall for Covid news. I’ll see if this is few days or a more permanent change.

Monday – daughter back at High School for the first in-person classes since last March. Social distancing, one-way traffic, masks required, half of the numbers. It is a start back to normalcy. Fauci calls out Republican vaccine deniers as hurting efforts to lift restrictions. Turkey, India have huge case numbers.

This time last year – tide pods, bleach injections, general idiocy. We did a roadtrip to buy our first 50lb bag of flour.

The Guardian The Seattle Times
19 Apr here here
20 Apr here here
21 Apr here here
22 Apr here here
23 Apr here here
24 Apr here here
25 Apr here here

https://www.theguardian.com/world/series/coronavirus-live

https://www.seattletimes.com/tag/coronavirus/

COVID – week 57 – Apr 12 – Apr 18

Weekend – A globe of rich vs poor. In-person events like the FA Cup Semi Final, soccer and baseball games in the UK and the US; in India, Brazil and other areas record breaking new cases. Washington State numbers are steadily climbing; Gov Inslee calling this “wave 4”.

Data again from the weekend Seattle Times.

Friday – “Pandemic fatigue” is the zeitgeist – and as a result cases are surging.

Thursday – more reporting on the politics behind vaccines. Red vs Blue states. Voting history being a strong correlation to intent to vaccinate.

Wednesday – J&J and AstraZeneca tests being stopped or delayed. Increasing positive tests globally – UK, France, India, US; here in Washington State I am sure this is another wave slowly breaking. If so – it’s going to be another summer of restrictions. Graph from The Seattle Times.

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Tuesday – six blood clot cases from millions of doses; yet the J&J vaccine is being delayed. Two WA counties are moved back to Phase 2 of reopening; King County was close to being pushed backed.

Monday – UK reduces lockdown. Long queues for shops, bars, haircuts. WHO: Pandemic “a long way from over”.

This time last year was “week 6” – and at work we were discussion what return to work would look like. Ran my first Zoom meeting with online voting for 5th LD Dems. “Reopen America” was trending.

The Guardian The Seattle Times
12 Apr here here
13 Apr here here
14 Apr here here
15 Apr here here
16 Apr here here
17 Apr here here
18 Apr here here

https://www.theguardian.com/world/series/coronavirus-live

https://www.seattletimes.com/tag/coronavirus/

COVID – week 56 – Apr 5 – Apr 11

Weekend – India, Iran, Brazil are the next breaking wave.

This time last year the UK was in the midst of a major wave – with NHS staff bearing the brunt of a lack of PPE, space and resources. Boris was in ICU. School was also “out until September” and it was almost a month working from home.

P1 variant (Brazil) is running rife through Whistler, BC and now beyond. Good list of variants here. I’m still thinking an annual Covid booster to go along with flu.

B1.1.7 – aka UK variant – 74% more transmissible; 64% more virulent
P1 – eek/E484k and others – 152% more transmissible; 45% more virulent

Clearly a rising rate of positive tests in Washington State. Some shocking disparity in vaccination rates – that seem to align with voting intent.

Friday – Delays to J&J vaccine shipping. J&J now under investigation for platelet/clotting issues. UCL claims UK heading for herd immunity; disputed.

Thursday – more restrictions on AstraZeneca vaccine. WHO warn of fourth wave in the UK; even with massive vaccine drive.

Wednesday – after weeks of bad press and the UK pushing forward with vaccinations – the UK regulator says “no AstraZeneca vaccine for under 30s“. Meanwhile the entire vaccine supply chain is running well in the US – City of Seattle alone will deliver >30k doses this week. Biden calls for “all adults to be offered the vaccine by 19 April” – that’s testament to the manufacturing, distribution and last mile working well.

Tuesday – France, Canada clearly in another major wave. Multiple locations flagging the E484K “eek” variant as being especially virulent and evasive. That’s the Brazil/South Africa variant.

Monday – more AstraZeneca woes – this time the UK is considering not using it for under 30s because of the blood clotting risks. UK lifting more lockdown; certainly the numbers are lowering quickly. US news – wave 4 is certainly here. “The United States has entered a fourth wave of transmission, and there’s no disputing this. Whether it remains as small regional outbreaks, or whether it generalizes nationwide remains to be seen,” Dr. George Rutherford, a UC San Francisco epidemiologist, said Friday at a campus town hall meeting.

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The Guardian The Seattle Times
5 Apr here here
6 Apr here here
7 Apr here here
8 Apr here here
9 Apr here here
10 Apr here here
11 Apr here here

https://www.theguardian.com/world/series/coronavirus-live

https://www.seattletimes.com/tag/coronavirus/