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COVID – week 72 – July 26 – August 1

Weekend – The Seattle Times seems to be cutting back on daily updates; the graphic (below) is now updated a few times per week; and for the second week no Sunday summaries. Here in Seattle bars and restaurants are starting to self-impose “vaccination required” to enter. Florida and Texas continue to see record cases. Fauci warns “things will get worse”.

Friday – this seems very similar to last summer; except that the new outbreaks and deaths are all in the non-vaccinated parts of the country.

Thursday – US Eviction ban ends this weekend. 6.4M Americans are late on rent payments.

Wednesday – Tokyo cases at all time high. Olympic Games still progressing with few new cases. Israel approves Pfizer vaccine for some children 5-11. Mask mandates returning across the US.

Tuesday – much discussion of State and Federal worker mandated vaccination.

Monday – UK cases from Delta variant; look to be a sharp peak; rapid rise, rapid fall.

This time last year – after five months the rhythm of daily updates was set. US cases flattening. Initial fiscal impact of COVID >$320BN.

The Guardian The Seattle Times
26 Jul here here
27 Jul here here
28 Jul here here
29 Jul here here
30 Jul here here
31 Jul here here
1 Aug here

COVID – week 71 – July 19 – July 25

Weekend – more discussion on a booster or top up for vaccines. Who needs it; when it needs to be given.

Weekly from The Seattle Times; concerning jump in positive cases.

Starting on Tuesday, July 27, we are reducing the number of days per week that we publish the chart tracking COVID-19 vaccination rates, coronavirus cases and deaths in Washington state. We will publish the chart on Tuesdays, Thursdays and Saturdays. We’re reducing its publication as day-to-day numbers have become relatively consistent. As the spread of the coronavirus changes, we may bring back some removed metrics, or add others, as we find the best balance of information for our readers.

Friday – NSW, Australia in the midst of Delta Variant wave. AP – most unvaccinated American’s won’t take a vaccine. Clearly politicised.

Thursday – “half of European adults” have had vaccine. “Pandemic of the unvaccinated

Wednesday – Fauci calls BS.

Tuesday – Tokyo Olympics running into repeated positive tests, confusion and athlete frustrations. Delayed by a year – maybe this should have been cancelled? Italian blood sample review shows possible Covid-like antibodies from before December 2019.

Monday – “Freedom Day” in the UK. More new UK cases than vaccinations. Lots of concern about hospital intake and of course new variants.

This time last year – more schools moving to online only for September school year. US at >1000 daily deaths. Vaccine positive news.

The Guardian The Seattle Times
19 Jul here here
20 Jul here here
21 Jul here here
22 Jul here here
23 Jul here here
24 Jul here here
25 Jul here

COVID – week 70 – July 12 – July 18

Weekend – One day, probably before the end of summer, I’ll be writing about the variant that escaped, and the scramble to get a new vaccine to fight the new variant. Biden: “Look, the only pandemic we have is among the unvaccinated.” In relatively vaccinated King County (>74% of 12+ fully vaccinated, >85% locally) there are pockets of low vaccination rates; that align almost perfectly with voting outcomes. In Seattle and the Eastside; it’s almost back to “normal”. Compare to areas of the south where it’s closer to 30% and raging cases.


Summary of COVID vaccination among King County residents – King County

More UK U turns on PM isolation.

Weekly snapshot of data from The Seattle Times. Note the slight uptick in new cases :\

Friday – my fears in a Guardian article. “England Covid unlocking is a threat to the world

Thursday – 48,553 new delta variant cases in the UK. This is like late December. Hospitalisations and deaths are lagging; but because of vaccinations are at a lower rate than last year. Washington State finally reaches 70% of adults having one or more vaccine doses. US – Canada border may re-open for travel in mid-August.

Wednesday – Multiple locations returning to curfew and lockdown.

Tuesday – “Freedom Day” in the UK in a week; and an “Exit Wave”. Bold and daring; or incredibly short sighted and risky…

Monday – UK reopening full of confusion, mixed messaging and backtracking. Euro finals “devastating” for COVID transmission. Ramping cases, warnings of 1000 hospitalisations per day, 200 deaths per day. Great data on cases, admissions and deaths.


This time last year – UK predicting a “significant normality by Christmas” (it wasn’t). Restrictions returned to WA state. Work from home until 2021. Return to school in September up in the air.

The Guardian The Seattle Times
12 Jul here here
13 Jul here here
14 Jul here here
15 Jul here here
16 Jul here here
17 Jul here here
18 Jul here here

COVID – week 69 – July 5 – July 11

Weekend – Much discussion over England soccer games and being super-spreader events. Good Twitter thread from Andy Slavitt – “2021 is the year of the unvaccinated pandemic” – in developing nations, and in unvaccinated states.

Usual graph from The Seattle Times. Vaccinations are slowing. Cases are declining slowly.

Friday – “Worst over” for some says WHO. Discussion on third Pfizer/Moderna shot as a booster in the fall. NSW/Sydney lockdown continues.

Thursday – UK re-opens; vaccine take up for those unvaccinated (mainly under 30s) slows. 4MM deaths globally. Tokyo Olympics to be without fans.

Wednesday – I feel this is going to be the summer of “super spreader” events; especially in the states with lower vaccine numbers. Here’s a starter: 125 infected at a church camp in TX. UK reopening a “dangerous experiment” – daily cases looking a lot like December. Graph from The Guardian.


Tuesday – “2M UK cases, 10M in isolation” – on these numbers I’ll be commenting on Covid for years. “About 99.2% of recent COVID-19 deaths in the United States involved unvaccinated people.” Fauci. image

Monday – UK lifting mask and distancing requirements – most rules to end by 19 July.

This time last year – runaway transmission, US cases were trending up; TX, AZ, FL hospitals overflowing; US gave notice to exit WHO.

The Guardian The Seattle Times
5 Jul here here
6 Jul here here
7 Jul here here
8 Jul here here
9 Jul here here
10 Jul here here
11 Jul here here

COVID – week 68 – June 28 – July 4

Weekend – More huge case loads across Asia. Vietnam, Indonesia called out. Australia in lockdown. New Zealand carefully watching. Russia has five days of case spikes. UK warns of “variant factory” if restrictions are lifted too soon.

Weekend data from The Seattle Times.

Friday – While the US is reopening; the rest of the globe continues to suffer. Europe, South Africa, Australia.

Thursday – Interesting feedback from Europe – Pfizer or Moderna being recommended as follow on dose to the AstraZeneca for maximum protection.

Wednesday – second meeting in the office; everyone was vaccinated and we agreed to be distant but without masks. In person for these planning meetings is more productive. Washington State officially “reopened”. Mask requirements are “not coming back” – with >70% vaccinated in King County and >80% locally this might be a good call, except for the case of an exceptionally virulent variant that breaks out. State numbers are lower with only 50% of residents (60% of adults) vaccinated. UK clearly on the rising side of a fourth wave, driven by the delta variant.

Tuesday – digging into the variants again. Iota is the latest that is a potential breakout. Meanwhile King County, WA drops the mask mandate and the State is due to lift all restrictions tomorrow. Meanwhile the UK is running hot with Delta variant – and looking a lot like October 2020.


Monday – clearly the emergence of breakout variants is going to be the next concern; reports that >80% vaccination is needed to prevent escape.

This time last year – “too much virus in the US” and Dr Fauci predicted 100K cases per day. Start of the anti-science and anti-vaccine reporting. The cancellation of July 4th events.

The Guardian The Seattle Times
28 Jun here here
29 Jun here here
30 Jun here here
1 Jul here here
2 Jul here here
3 Jul here here
4 Jul here here